Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.022327 0.023986 0.025714 0.027650 0.029760 0.031993 0.034539
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.019780 0.022200 0.024852 0.027985 0.031596 0.035639 0.040529
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017693 0.020507 0.023712 0.027652 0.032389 0.037932 0.044955
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016244 0.019322 0.022937 0.027528 0.033244 0.040184 0.049333
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014969 0.018192 0.022077 0.027148 0.033653 0.041804 0.052927
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014109 0.017481 0.021639 0.027202 0.034537 0.044000 0.057330
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013198 0.016626 0.020939 0.026837 0.034802 0.045346 0.060632
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012335 0.015770 0.020170 0.026305 0.034771 0.046243 0.063320
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011681 0.015143 0.019653 0.026058 0.035080 0.047587 0.066682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011089 0.014561 0.019155 0.025792 0.035324 0.048820 0.069930
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010450 0.013879 0.018479 0.025229 0.035092 0.049328 0.072090
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010140 0.013630 0.018382 0.025470 0.036023 0.051573 0.077039
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009766 0.013278 0.018128 0.025474 0.036609 0.053347 0.081403
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009514 0.013085 0.018086 0.025783 0.037665 0.055897 0.087199
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009099 0.012638 0.017655 0.025481 0.037755 0.056927 0.090543
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008769 0.012298 0.017361 0.025369 0.038125 0.058410 0.094740
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008398 0.011882 0.016934 0.025024 0.038098 0.059232 0.097833
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008157 0.011648 0.016768 0.025074 0.038703 0.061125 0.102947
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007833 0.011275 0.016375 0.024742 0.038658 0.061906 0.106089
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007492 0.010862 0.015902 0.024258 0.038327 0.062171 0.108276
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007233 0.010567 0.015599 0.024033 0.038419 0.063167 0.111905
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006985 0.010279 0.015295 0.023792 0.038465 0.064077 0.115423
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006688 0.009905 0.014842 0.023280 0.038011 0.064052 0.117088